A few thoughts about Cuba
Feb. 21st, 2008 10:44 amCastro could have been a lot worse. Afaik, he never committed mass murder, and he made reasonable arrangements for succession. Many Communist dictators didn't manage to do as well.
Still, if Cuba ever opens up, it's going to turn out to be a lot worse than many people think. Guys, if people take a major risk of dying to get out of a place, it's bad. It doesn't matter what the health care system or the literacy rate is, there's something very wrong.
While I'm strongly opposed to the embargo-- it's an massive infringement of freedom for Cubans, and a presumptuous one for Americans, it's far from the whole reason Cuba is so impoverished. Cuba is free to trade with the rest of the world, and if Cuba had much worth selling, it would get smuggled into the US.
Still, if Cuba ever opens up, it's going to turn out to be a lot worse than many people think. Guys, if people take a major risk of dying to get out of a place, it's bad. It doesn't matter what the health care system or the literacy rate is, there's something very wrong.
While I'm strongly opposed to the embargo-- it's an massive infringement of freedom for Cubans, and a presumptuous one for Americans, it's far from the whole reason Cuba is so impoverished. Cuba is free to trade with the rest of the world, and if Cuba had much worth selling, it would get smuggled into the US.
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Date: 2008-02-21 03:56 pm (UTC)That's pretty presumptuous. If you don't know what they have, how do you know what it's worth?
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Date: 2008-02-21 04:01 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-21 04:21 pm (UTC)Cuba trades in food and many other things with Canada, and has done so for decades, very satisfactorily.
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Date: 2008-02-21 04:33 pm (UTC)What it needs to be more successful isn't a government that endorses and supports different industries, but one which doesn't pick favorites. It would also benefit if the US did the same. The US sugar industry wouldn't look kindly on free trade with Cuba, but the rest of us would benefit noticeably from unilateral free trade.
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Date: 2008-02-21 04:40 pm (UTC)What are you considering to be unilateral free trade? Unilateral on whose side?
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Date: 2008-02-21 07:25 pm (UTC)"The Vikings carried out a "unilateral trade" with the Irish monasteries."
I like that!
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Date: 2008-02-21 07:35 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-21 05:53 pm (UTC)Under Batista, Cuban agriculture was highly productive, exporting a surplus and feeding the Cuban population. Cuba was the richest country in the Carribean aside from America herself.
Under Castro, Cuba can barely feed itself and produces a tiny surplus at the expense of half-starving the Cuban masses. Cuba is one of the poorer countries in the Carribean.
Castro's policies failed. It's that simple.
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Date: 2008-02-21 06:29 pm (UTC)Cuba has great prospects. I'm sure that if it were ever allowed to follow a policy of true free trade it would do pretty well. But it never has been, even before Castro.
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Date: 2008-02-21 07:24 pm (UTC)It's my understanding that, compared to the 1950's, Cuba is now far less agriculturally productive, and that the Cuban people are today much closer to famine than they were then. In other words, that Castro has diminished his exports and yet still been unable to feed his people, thanks to Communism.
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Date: 2008-02-21 08:18 pm (UTC)Twistedchick seems to be pursuing some weird argument running perpendicular to Nancy's original statement that Cuba's poverty can't be blamed solely on the US embargo. But that doesn't justify burnishing Batista.
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Date: 2008-02-22 02:38 am (UTC)no subject
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Date: 2008-02-21 04:03 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-21 05:54 pm (UTC)Do you honestly believe that Cuba is no worse than most other countries, and that the risks that people take to leave Cuba aren't far greater than those they take to leave most places?
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Date: 2008-02-22 04:30 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-21 04:08 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-21 04:20 pm (UTC)The chocolate is good enough that the major Swiss chocolate company Lindt chose it as one of their "terroir" chocolates, along with Madagascar, Peru, Ecuador and I Forget (we didn't like that one so much) to make chocolate from just those beans. I guess Lindt don't have much of a US market, or those things are pretty specialised, though I can buy them at the grocery store, so I guess not.
Rum is the sort of thing people smuggle in (actually, so is chocolate, though not in quantity) and I heard a paranoid rumour that the US rum companies lobby to keep up the embargo on Cuba to keep the Cuban rum out. But a lot of things that could perfectly legitimately be traded (wood, software, steel) wouldn't be the kind of things worth smuggling.
The other thing I notice is that lots and lots of Canadians go on holiday to Cuba in February and March. There's a huge poster of a tropical beach advertising it right by my local metro station. The whole of Canada is only 30-odd million people, and we can't all afford a week in Cuba. Europe is a lot further away. Tourism from the larger, closer US would probably do a lot for Cuba's economy.
I agree that people desparate to leave is a bad sign for a country.
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Date: 2008-02-21 07:37 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-21 04:09 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-21 04:24 pm (UTC)the main other thing they have to trade is what they had before the revolution.... a vacation resort spot and harbor.
the main reason people are willing to go through so much to get out isnt the poverty. its the political oppression. if you are part of the "wrong" politics, it can be lethal to stay.
and that includes being the kid of someone on the wrong side of the politics
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Date: 2008-02-21 05:56 pm (UTC)The poverty of Cuba actually helps in this regard, because the Cuban people are desperate to please tourists. Prostitution, for instance, has increased roughly tenfold since the Revolution -- far more than has the Cuban population.
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